Elon Musk continues to solidify his influence, with many speculating that he may become the world’s first trillionaire. His name, alongside Tesla, consistently sparks debate, but his transformative impact on the automotive sector is undeniable.
On October 10, 2024, Tesla unveiled its long-anticipated Robotaxi, now named the “Cybercab.” With a design inspired by the Cybertruck, the Cybercab is poised to disrupt the autonomous transportation sector, offering point-to-point premium transport with no driver fees. Priced under $30,000, the vehicle aims to make autonomous driving accessible to a wide range of consumers. The vehicle will also utilize Tesla’s advanced Full Self-Driving (FSD) technology, operating without radar or lidar, relying solely on cameras for navigation. Musk expressed confidence that unsupervised FSD will be available in Texas and California by 2025, with mass production of the Cybercab expected by 2027.
Tesla’s Performance: A Challenging Period
The last few years have been difficult for Tesla investors. Tesla shares have dropped 12% year-to-date, down 20% from their July 2024 highs, and the company’s profit margins have halved since 2022. Tesla’s gross margins have also declined by 23 basis points to 18%.
Despite these challenges, Musk remains confident in Tesla’s future. He reaffirmed that investors who don’t believe in the company’s potential to solve autonomy should reconsider their involvement. Cathie Wood of Ark Invest remains optimistic, predicting in June, 2024, that 90% of Tesla’s earnings by 2029 will come from its Robotaxi business, emphasizing her long-term confidence in Tesla’s vision for autonomy.
However, even with this renewed focus on autonomy, many investors remain cautious.
Market Competition and Investor Sentiment
Elon Musk’s ventures continue to set new standards for the industry, but Tesla’s market dominance is under increasing pressure from competitors. Chinese automaker Baidu has been scaling operations and growing its share of the EV market, which poses a significant challenge to Tesla. Tesla is also dealing with internal struggles, including meeting the high demand for Cybertruck deliveries while striving to make its products more affordable.
In addition, investor concerns are growing about Tesla’s liquidity, with shares valued at 11 times the company’s net assets. This has led to speculation that Tesla’s stock may be overvalued by up to 75%. Key executive departures and questions about Musk’s capacity to manage multiple ventures are also weighing on investor confidence.
The Robotaxi, or Cybercab, is seen as a critical factor in reversing these trends.
Evaluating the Event’s Potential Impact
While Musk has a history of successful product launches, the market remains unpredictable. Some fear that the Robotaxi event, despite its ambitious promises, could fall short of expectations. However, Musk’s demonstration of the Cybercab’s advanced FSD capabilities and its potential for mass production by 2027 have rekindled optimism.
Past Tesla events have generally impressed investors, and the mystery surrounding each launch has proven to be an effective strategy in generating market excitement. The Cybercab, with its premium features and relatively low price point, could significantly reshape the autonomous transportation landscape. Tesla’s introduction of the Robovan, a high-capacity autonomous vehicle for transporting up to 20 people or goods, further emphasizes the company’s focus on transforming mass transit.
Investor Guidance
Tesla’s stock has seen significant gains in the past, and the successful launch of the Cybercab could lead to a similar surge, potentially boosting TSLA shares to 2021 highs by Q4 2025. For investors able to tolerate risk, this presents a unique opportunity.
However, given the uncertainties around FSD approval and production timelines, a conservative approach is still advisable. Less experienced investors or those with a lower risk tolerance may want to limit their exposure or refrain from investing in Tesla at this time.
Finally, it’s important to remember that this event is not the last opportunity to invest. Tesla and its competitors are continually introducing new technologies, and each innovation presents new opportunities. The key is to stay informed and make decisions that align with your risk tolerance and investment goals.

















